The Vastly Underimproved Poll Thread

The last telephone polling I received ended about two questions in when I said Obama is doing a lousy job. Not the answer they were looking for.

Which should clue you, and everybody else, how much BS is in der Won's polling numbers.

I keep wondering why I get polled when a) I am not on any voter registration list and b) I am ineligible to vote. They keep calling me anyway.

I keep wondering why I get polled when a) I am not on any voter registration list and b) I am ineligible to vote. They keep calling me anyway.

Si Habla Espanol?

While Nero's class warfare "tax the rich scheme" is liked by many people, reducing spending is still very high on their list of ways to reduce the deficit.

http://apnews.myway.com/article/20120224/D9T3L7SG3.html

Today's numbers. Not much change.

Date
Poll Top Guy Margin

11-Feb
AZ Romney 28
MI Romney 12
GA Gingrich 16
OH Romney 5

13-Feb
MI Santorum 15
GA Gingrich 16
CA Romney 5

14-Feb
Santorum vs Nero Nero 7.5
Romney vs Nero Nero 7
MI Santorum 3

15-Feb
MI Santorum 9.5
OH Santorum 7
NY Romney 12

16-Feb
MI Santorum 4
OH Santorum 18

17-Feb
AZ Romney 8

18-Feb
MA Romney 48
Santorum vs Nero Nero 8
Romney vs Nero Nero 8

19-Feb
in IA, Nero vs Paul Paul 7
in IA, Nero vs Gingrich Nero 14
in IA, Nero vs Santorum Santorum 4
in IA, Nero vs Romney Romney 2
Nero vs Romney Nero 4
Nero vs Santorum Nero 6

20-Feb
MI Santorum 4
MI Sant/Romn tie
AZ Romney 3
OK Santorum 16
Romney vs Nero Nero 4
Santorum vs Nero Nero 3

21-Feb
MI Santorum 2 (average)
AZ Romney 10
GA Gingrich 2
WA Santorum 11
Romney vs Nero Nero 2
Santorum vs Nero Nero 2

22-Feb
MI Romney 2
AZ Romney 16
OK Santorum 21
WI Santorum 16
CA Romney 6
US Romney vs Nero Nero 5.3
US Santorum vs Nero Nero 5
in MI Romney vs Nero Nero 18
in MI Santorum vs Nero Nero 26
in MI Gingrich vs Nero Nero 28
in MI Paul vs Nero Nero 22
in AZ Romney vs Nero Romney 5
in AZ Santorum vs Nero Santorum 3
in AZ Gingrich vs Nero Nero 5
in AZ Paul vs Nero Paul 2
in WI Romney vs Nero Nero 5
in WI Santorum vs Nero Nero 11
in WI Gingrich vs Nero Nero 23
in WI Paul vs Nero Nero 16

23-Feb
MI Santorum 3
PA Santorum 29
in PA Romney vs Nero Nero 8
in PA Santorum vs Nero Nero 8
in PA Gingrich vs Nero Nero 16
in PA Paul vs Nero Nero 13

24-Feb
MI Romney 4.5
Romney vs Nero Nero 7
Santorum Nero 6
AZ Romney 13

I keep wondering why I get polled when a) I am not on any voter registration list and b) I am ineligible to vote. They keep calling me anyway.

Because you answer the phone?

This poll shows a strong bump up for Nero's disapprove - approve/disapprove now at +7 disapprove. If real, that's a good thing for us. BTW, the number for strongly disapprove should be 41% in that top line.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_ ... ex_history

How much higher would that be if the Republicans had someone with half a brain running for the nomination?

The only state nomination numbers new from the last time is Gingrich with +13 in Georgia. In GA Gingrich + Santorum comes in at 53% and Romney with a meager 19%. Since much of the base is the South, Romney's not looking too good there.

Today's polls -

MI RvS Romney 1.2 (4 polls)
AZ RvS Romney 16.5 (2 polls)
OH RvS Santorum 7

MI appears to be a tossup. Romney has AZ well in hand. In Ohio, though Santorum has the lead.

Today's polls -

MI RvS Romney 1.2 (4 polls)
AZ RvS Romney 16.5 (2 polls)
OH RvS Santorum 7

MI appears to be a tossup. Romney has AZ well in hand. In Ohio, though Santorum has the lead.

The Santorum "surge" seems to be due to Democratic mischief.

It may very well be time for the GOP to shift to closed primaries and caucuses.

Today's polls -

MI RvS Romney 1.2 (4 polls)
AZ RvS Romney 16.5 (2 polls)
OH RvS Santorum 7

MI appears to be a tossup. Romney has AZ well in hand. In Ohio, though Santorum has the lead.

The Santorum "surge" seems to be due to Democratic mischief.

It may very well be time for the GOP to shift to closed primaries and caucuses.

The GOP had their chance to correct the issues with open primaries for 4 years and didn't. Apparantly they are satisfied with the way things are now. They don't call them the stupid party for nothing.

Today's polls -

MI RvS Romney 1.2 (4 polls)
AZ RvS Romney 16.5 (2 polls)
OH RvS Santorum 7

MI appears to be a tossup. Romney has AZ well in hand. In Ohio, though Santorum has the lead.

The Santorum "surge" seems to be due to Democratic mischief.

It may very well be time for the GOP to shift to closed primaries and caucuses.

The GOP had their chance to correct the issues with open primaries for 4 years and didn't. Apparantly they are satisfied with the way things are now. They don't call them the stupid party for nothing.

To be fair, all partisan primaries are open in Michigan. Voters are not registered by party and you can ask for any ballot you want. I was voter #4 in a large, deep blue MI precinct (1D, 2R ballots before me) with well over a thousand registered voters this morning an hour after the polls opened. If operation mischief is in effect, no one gives a damn here.

Latest MI numbers:

MI Santorum/Romney - tie (2 polls).

Latest MI numbers:

MI Santorum/Romney - tie (2 polls).

Romney has banked a huge lead in early voting.

It's gonna be close, but the UAW has given Romney the same sort of cover that they gave George W. Bush in 2000: "Santorum's the choice of the Democrats."

Don't have the link, but the recent contraception issue is pushing the women's vote back to Obama.

Don't have the link, but the recent contraception issue is pushing the women's vote back to Obama.

A completely invented issue. Fear mongering from the Democrats works so well.

Today's polls -

MI RvS Romney 1.2 (4 polls)
AZ RvS Romney 16.5 (2 polls)
OH RvS Santorum 7

MI appears to be a tossup. Romney has AZ well in hand. In Ohio, though Santorum has the lead.

The Santorum "surge" seems to be due to Democratic mischief.

It may very well be time for the GOP to shift to closed primaries and caucuses.

The GOP had their chance to correct the issues with open primaries for 4 years and didn't. Apparantly they are satisfied with the way things are now. They don't call them the stupid party for nothing.

To be fair, all partisan primaries are open in Michigan. Voters are not registered by party and you can ask for any ballot you want. I was voter #4 in a large, deep blue MI precinct (1D, 2R ballots before me) with well over a thousand registered voters this morning an hour after the polls opened. If operation mischief is in effect, no one gives a damn here.

Someone apparently does.

Michael Moore: "My Democratic Friends Will Vote For Santorum"


"I have to tell you a lot of my Democratic friends will vote for Santorum in something they are calling Operation Hilarity," Michael Moore said at the end of an interview with MSNBC's Rachel Maddow.

According to the Daily Kos, who launched this campaign, Operation Hilarity is "an opportunity for Democrats to actually help prolong this election a little bit longer because we’ve seen that the longer this drags out, the worse it is for Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum and the best it is for Barack Obama."

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/ ... torum.html

New numbers for GA

GA -nomination - Gingrich 15

in GA, Romney vs Nero, Romney 7
in GA, Santorum vs Nero, Santorum 4
in GA, Gingrich vs Nero, Gingrich 4
in GA, Paul vs Nero, Paul 4

So for a true red state, it basically makes no difference.

To be fair, all partisan primaries are open in Michigan. Voters are not registered by party and you can ask for any ballot you want. I was voter #4 in a large, deep blue MI precinct (1D, 2R ballots before me) with well over a thousand registered voters this morning an hour after the polls opened. If operation mischief is in effect, no one gives a damn here.

Someone apparently does.

Michael Moore: "My Democratic Friends Will Vote For Santorum"

I think Michael Moore doesn't have as many friends as he thinks he does.

Very low profile primary here - I have not seen a single yard sign in my area. Not one.

To be fair, all partisan primaries are open in Michigan. Voters are not registered by party and you can ask for any ballot you want. I was voter #4 in a large, deep blue MI precinct (1D, 2R ballots before me) with well over a thousand registered voters this morning an hour after the polls opened. If operation mischief is in effect, no one gives a damn here.

Someone apparently does.

Michael Moore: "My Democratic Friends Will Vote For Santorum"

I think Michael Moore doesn't have as many friends as he thinks he does.

Very low profile primary here - I have not seen a single yard sign in my area. Not one.

Michael Moore has lots of friends--well, he'll have them as long as he has money.

Don't have the link, but the recent contraception issue is pushing the women's vote back to Obama.

A completely invented issue. Fear mongering from the Democrats works so well.

The dems know that bringing up social issues will distract from the economy. The contraception issue is one perfect example. It's making GOP heads explode. It's like playing a negative "socon" card. It's a very real wedge issue. Notice how less time s spent on the economy now? This issue is a brilliant political strategic move on the part of the dems.

Don't have the link, but the recent contraception issue is pushing the women's vote back to Obama.

A completely invented issue. Fear mongering from the Democrats works so well.

The dems know that bringing up social issues will distract from the economy. The contraception issue is one perfect example. It's making GOP heads explode. It's like playing a negative "socon" card. It's a very real wedge issue. Notice how less time s spent on the economy now? This issue is a brilliant political strategic move on the part of the dems.

Super Tuesday Poll in a very important state:

Santorum up 11 over Romney - Ohio.

Let's get these primaries over and either Romney or Santorum officially nominated. I'm curious to see how Gary Johnson—the fellow I believe I'll be supporting—polls in a three-way match up.

Delegates from Michigan

15-15 even split. Can't say Romney won with those numbers.

Delegates from Michigan

15-15 even split. Can't say Romney won with those numbers.

He did. This is a perception game, not a delegate game.